Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolves @ Eagles WGA @ FGCU

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

9-8  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 2:00 PM ET
Alico Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

7-11  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
WOLVES --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (West Georgia)
WolvesWGA (-3.5) 0 EaglesFGCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolves Cover

100.0%

Eagles Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WGA -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)

WGA By 1-7 points

0.1%

WGA By 8-14 points

0.5%

FGCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

FGCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
99
WEST GEORGIA
59
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
68
WEST GEORGIA
75
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wolves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wolves (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 WGA @ FGCU 72 - 90
Jan 16, 2025 WGA @ FGCU 60 - 82
Jan 2, 2025 FGCU @ WGA 79 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +28.4% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 14.4 vs West Georgia: 11.2
Blocks (L5) +13.3% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 3.4 vs West Georgia: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Florida Gulf Coast: 28.8% vs West Georgia: 26.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WGA Score 99.0 72
FGCU Score 59.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 26.2 54.0 / 31.0
Assists 14.4 / 11.2 14.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.0 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 43.1 57.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 80.0 / 79.7 75.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 34.9 / 32.9 40.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.3 / 7.3 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 10.8 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
7%MONEY93%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
FGCU Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
WGA
FGCU
WGA
ML
58% 19-14
58% 18-13
67% 22-11
61% 19-12
ATS
61% 20-13
71% 22-9
67% 22-11
61% 19-12
TTL
61% 20-13
55% 17-14
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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