Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Seahawks @ Chargers WAG @ NHVN

WAGNER

SEAHAWKSWAG

6-9  |  Road

74
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 1:00 PM ET
Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center
View Odds Details →

NEW HAVEN

CHARGERSNHVN

7-10  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
CHARGERS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
CHARGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-44.0
WAGNER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +44.0 points (Wagner)
SeahawksWAG (-3.5) 0 ChargersNHVN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

100.0%

Chargers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WAG -44.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAG)

WAG By 1-7 points

0.0%

WAG By 8-14 points

0.1%

NHVN By 1-7 points

0.0%

NHVN By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
110
WAGNER
66
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
68
WAGNER
72
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chargers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (-2) Loss
Proj Spread: -44.0
D
Sim Chargers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.0 Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim u130.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 NHVN @ WAG 62 - 65
Jan 17, 2026 WAG @ NHVN 74 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +17.1% more
Wagner: 38.0 vs New Haven: 31.5
Free Throw % (L5) +12.0%
Wagner: 69.6% vs New Haven: 57.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Wagner: 37.0% vs New Haven: 31.5%
Steals (L5) +21.7% more
New Haven: 5.4 vs Wagner: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAG Score 110.0 74
NHVN Score 66.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 37.0 54.0 / 48.0
Assists 13.6 / 14.1 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.2 0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 43.9 53.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 57.6 / 69.6 93.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 38.0 19.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.4 / 4.4 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.3 / 11.7 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
NHVN
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-: +2.1
NHVN
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +4.4
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
WAG
NHVN
WAG
ML
71% 22-9
63% 19-11
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
ATS
74% 23-8
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
TTL
42% 13-18
53% 16-14
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Seahawks Panic, Mets Cheer Wrong Guy: The Overreaction Epidemic …
spokesman 3 weeks, 1 day ago
Seahawks Sign Former Lions First-Round Pick Amid Legal Turmoil
si 1 month, 3 weeks ago
Jul 25, 2026; Renton, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks head coach Mike …
si 2 months, 1 week ago
Sep 25, 2025; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Seattle Seahawks punter Mi…
si 2 months, 4 weeks ago
Dec 7, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Seattle Seahawks cornerback …
si 3 months ago