SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
5-12 | Road
56
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
ISLANDERSAMCC
9-8 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
LIONS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMCC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
SELA By 1-7 points
9.3%
SELA By 8-14 points
2.7%
AMCC By 1-7 points
21.6%
AMCC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
SE Louisiana
65
SE LOUISIANA
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
76
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
SE Louisiana
69
SE LOUISIANA
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
75
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (-5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o130.0
Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u130.0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 23, 2026
AMCC @ SELA
73 - 68
Jan 17, 2026
SELA @ AMCC
56 - 68
Mar 1, 2025
SELA @ AMCC
54 - 68
Jan 4, 2025
AMCC @ SELA
80 - 71
Mar 2, 2024
SELA @ AMCC
68 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.6% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 4.1
vs
SE Louisiana: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+9.5% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 7.8
vs
SE Louisiana: 7.1
Rebounding (L5)
+9.1% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 36.3
vs
SE Louisiana: 33.3
Turnovers (L5)
+8.7% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 12.3
vs
SE Louisiana: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SELA Score
65.0
56
AMCC Score
76.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 28.8
43.0 / 33.0
Assists
11.5 / 11.5
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.3
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 39.9
47.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 68.2
67.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 33.3
32.0 / 27.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.1
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 11.3
18.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
AMCC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
AMCC
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
SELA
AMCC
SELA
ML
70%
21-9
70%
21-9
67%
18-9
66%
19-10
ATS
67%
20-10
60%
18-12
67%
18-9
67%
20-10
TTL
60%
18-12
70%
21-9
100%
27-0
100%
30-0
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