COPPIN STATE

EAGLESCOPP

3-17  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 4:30 PM ET
Hytche Center
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

HAWKSUMES

7-13  |  Home

70
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
HAWKS
100%
EAGLES --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
COPPIN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Coppin State)
EaglesCOPP (-3.5) 0 HawksUMES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

98.9%

Hawks Cover

1.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COPP -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COPP)

COPP By 1-7 points

4.8%

COPP By 8-14 points

13.7%

UMES By 1-7 points

0.8%

UMES By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
82
COPPIN STATE
59
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Simulated Score
64
COPPIN STATE
72
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-11.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 UMES @ COPP 65 - 71
Jan 17, 2026 COPP @ UMES 67 - 70
Mar 3, 2025 UMES @ COPP 72 - 59
Feb 3, 2025 COPP @ UMES 62 - 57
Feb 19, 2024 COPP @ UMES 67 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +12.9% more
Coppin State: 14.8 vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 12.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.2%
Coppin State: 39.9% vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 30.7%
Steals (L5) +12.1% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 7.0 vs Coppin State: 6.2
Assists (L5) +8.3% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 13.8 vs Coppin State: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COPP Score 82.0 67
UMES Score 59.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 39.9 35.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.8 / 12.7 14.0 / 8.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.4 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 41.2 47.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 73.9 / 67.0 95.0 / 95.0
Rebounding 32.3 / 30.8 22.0 / 32.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.2 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 14.8 12.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
UMES Advantage
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0 (43.3%)
Margin: -14.9 ATS +/-: -1.6
UMES Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7% Total +/-: +2.1
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.5