AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
HAWKS
100%
EAGLES
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
COPPIN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Coppin State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COPP -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COPP)
COPP By 1-7 points
4.8%
COPP By 8-14 points
13.7%
UMES By 1-7 points
0.8%
UMES By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Coppin State
82
COPPIN STATE
Maryland Eastern Shore
59
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Simulated Score
Coppin State
64
COPPIN STATE
Maryland Eastern Shore
72
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Eagles (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
UMES @ COPP
65 - 71
Jan 17, 2026
COPP @ UMES
67 - 70
Mar 3, 2025
UMES @ COPP
72 - 59
Feb 3, 2025
COPP @ UMES
62 - 57
Feb 19, 2024
COPP @ UMES
67 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+12.9% more
Coppin State: 14.8
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 12.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Coppin State: 39.9%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 30.7%
Steals (L5)
+12.1% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 7.0
vs
Coppin State: 6.2
Assists (L5)
+8.3% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 13.8
vs
Coppin State: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COPP Score
82.0
67
UMES Score
59.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.7 / 39.9
35.0 / 30.0
Assists
13.8 / 12.7
14.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.4
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 41.2
47.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 67.0
95.0 / 95.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 30.8
22.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.2
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 14.8
12.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
UMES
Advantage
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
UMES
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UMES
COPP
UMES
COPP
ML
66%
21-11
65%
20-11
81%
21-5
79%
19-5
ATS
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
81%
21-5
79%
19-5
TTL
66%
21-11
52%
16-15
100%
26-0
100%
24-0