Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Eagles HOW @ NCCU

HOWARD

BISONHOW

10-8  |  Road

83
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 4:30 PM ET
McDougald-McLendon Arena
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

7-11  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
BISON --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
189.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (North Carolina Central)
BisonHOW (-3.5) 0 EaglesNCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

46.0%

Eagles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCCU)

HOW By 1-7 points

24.3%

HOW By 8-14 points

13.7%

NCCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

NCCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
94
HOWARD
95
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Simulated Score
70
HOWARD
78
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 189.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 NCCU @ HOW 63 - 70
Feb 21, 2026 NCCU @ HOW 67 - 100
Jan 17, 2026 HOW @ NCCU 83 - 69
Mar 1, 2025 HOW @ NCCU 68 - 72
Feb 8, 2025 NCCU @ HOW 78 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.9% more
North Carolina Central: 18.4 vs Howard: 14.8
Field Goal % (L5) +8.6%
North Carolina Central: 52.6% vs Howard: 44.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
North Carolina Central: 38.1% vs Howard: 32.4%
Free Throw % (L5) +1.6%
North Carolina Central: 72.7% vs Howard: 71.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 94.0 83
NCCU Score 95.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.1 / 32.4 38.0 / 26.0
Assists 18.4 / 14.8 17.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.6 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 52.6 / 44.0 43.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 71.2 60.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 31.7 / 35.0 31.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.5 / 9.3 5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 14.0 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
96%MONEY4%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
NCCU
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
NCCU
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCCU
HOW
NCCU
HOW
ML
65% 20-11
59% 20-14
81% 22-5
71% 22-9
ATS
71% 22-9
59% 20-14
81% 22-5
71% 22-9
TTL
55% 17-14
62% 21-13
100% 27-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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