NAVY
MIDSHIPMENNAVY
12-6 | Road
82
LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
7-11 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
MIDSHIPMEN
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
MIDSHIPMEN
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NAVY -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
NAVY By 1-7 points
8.0%
NAVY By 8-14 points
18.6%
LEH By 1-7 points
1.7%
LEH By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Navy
83
NAVY
Lehigh
63
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Navy
65
NAVY
Lehigh
68
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Midshipmen
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Midshipmen (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
LEH @ NAVY
49 - 72
Jan 17, 2026
NAVY @ LEH
82 - 79
Feb 12, 2025
LEH @ NAVY
60 - 63
Jan 29, 2025
NAVY @ LEH
79 - 54
Jan 31, 2024
NAVY @ LEH
65 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.4% more
Navy: 12.1
vs
Lehigh: 10.1
Rebounding (L5)
+16.1% more
Navy: 37.6
vs
Lehigh: 31.5
Steals (L5)
+28.4% more
Lehigh: 7.6
vs
Navy: 5.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.2%
Lehigh: 41.8%
vs
Navy: 31.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score
83.0
82
LEH Score
63.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.8 / 31.5
21.0 / 42.0
Assists
15.2 / 14.9
9.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.6
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 43.5
43.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.6 / 69.7
81.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 37.6
29.0 / 54.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.9
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 12.1
8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
LEH
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY
Advantage
20-11-1
(64.5%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +3.7
LEH
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.3
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
NAVY
LEH
NAVY
ML
56%
19-15
79%
26-7
68%
23-11
55%
18-15
ATS
56%
19-15
73%
24-9
68%
23-11
55%
18-15
TTL
76%
26-8
73%
24-9
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
