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NORFOLK STATE

SPARTANSNORF

7-12  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 4:30 PM ET
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

3-15  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
SPARTANS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-47.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +47.0 points (Norfolk State)
SpartansNORF (-3.5) 0 BulldogsSCST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

100.0%

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NORF -47.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)

NORF By 1-7 points

0.0%

NORF By 8-14 points

0.1%

SCST By 1-7 points

0.0%

SCST By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
88
NORFOLK STATE
41
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Simulated Score
75
NORFOLK STATE
68
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spartans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spartans (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -47.0
D
Sim Spartans (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 SCST @ NORF 88 - 82
Feb 21, 2026 SCST @ NORF 71 - 90
Jan 17, 2026 NORF @ SCST 89 - 82
Mar 15, 2025 SCST @ NORF 65 - 66
Mar 1, 2025 NORF @ SCST 88 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +9.7%
Norfolk State: 68.2% vs South Carolina State: 58.5%
Blocks (L5) +87.8% more
South Carolina State: 4.8 vs Norfolk State: 2.6
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
South Carolina State: 14.9 vs Norfolk State: 13.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.7%
South Carolina State: 39.0% vs Norfolk State: 30.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NORF Score 88.0 89
SCST Score 41.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 30.2 37.0 / 36.0
Assists 12.2 / 12.5 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.8 / 2.6 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 44.5 44.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 58.5 / 68.2 82.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 29.9 / 30.7 28.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.3 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 13.0 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
22%MONEY78%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NORF Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NORF Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1% Total +/-: +4.6
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCST
NORF
SCST
NORF
ML
61% 19-12
67% 20-10
74% 20-7
71% 20-8
ATS
68% 21-10
63% 19-11
74% 20-7
72% 21-8
TTL
52% 16-15
60% 18-12
100% 27-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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