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RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

13-5  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 4:00 PM ET
Chaifetz Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

16-1  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
SPIDERS
100%
📊
BILLIKENS
0%
SPIDERS --
BILLIKENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Saint Louis)
SpidersRICH (-3.5) 0 BillikensSLU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spiders Cover

42.1%

Billikens Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)

RICH By 1-7 points

23.0%

RICH By 8-14 points

12.2%

SLU By 1-7 points

26.8%

SLU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
76
RICHMOND
78
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
72
RICHMOND
68
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Billikens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Billikens (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Spiders (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u162.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 RICH @ SLU 63 - 88
Jan 18, 2025 SLU @ RICH 63 - 59
Feb 28, 2024 RICH @ SLU 80 - 64
Feb 21, 2023 SLU @ RICH 78 - 81
Feb 25, 2022 SLU @ RICH 66 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +36.8% more
Saint Louis: 19.8 vs Richmond: 14.5
Turnovers (L5) +29.4% more
Saint Louis: 9.6 vs Richmond: 7.4
Blocks (L5) +11.2% more
Saint Louis: 3.1 vs Richmond: 2.8
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Saint Louis: 52.4% vs Richmond: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RICH Score 76.0 63
SLU Score 78.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.2 / 43.5 33.0 / 30.0
Assists 19.8 / 14.5 17.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.8 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 52.4 / 45.6 49.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 74.0 78.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 35.5 46.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.6 7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 7.4 9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICH
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
RICH
SLU
RICH
ML
70% 23-10
53% 17-15
68% 21-10
56% 18-14
ATS
73% 24-9
44% 14-18
68% 21-10
56% 18-14
TTL
61% 20-13
56% 18-14
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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