Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Bulldogs WYO @ FRES

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

11-6  |  Road

60
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Save Mart Center
View Odds Details →

FRESNO STATE

BULLDOGSFRES

8-9  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
COWBOYS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Wyoming)
CowboysWYO (-3.5) 0 BulldogsFRES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

100.0%

Bulldogs Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WYO -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)

WYO By 1-7 points

0.0%

WYO By 8-14 points

0.1%

FRES By 1-7 points

0.0%

FRES By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
89
WYOMING
44
FRESNO STATE
Simulated Score
69
WYOMING
72
FRESNO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cowboys Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cowboys (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 FRES @ WYO 82 - 92
Jan 17, 2026 WYO @ FRES 60 - 63
Mar 4, 2025 WYO @ FRES 58 - 62
Jan 28, 2025 FRES @ WYO 72 - 83
Mar 13, 2024 FRES @ WYO 77 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +48.3% more
Wyoming: 2.9 vs Fresno State: 1.5
Steals (L5) +43.0% more
Fresno State: 7.5 vs Wyoming: 5.3
Turnovers (L5) +15.2% more
Fresno State: 12.9 vs Wyoming: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5) +14.6%
Fresno State: 88.4% vs Wyoming: 73.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 89.0 60
FRES Score 44.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 34.6 17.0 / 26.0
Assists 13.2 / 13.9 12.0 / 10.0
Blocks 1.5 / 2.9 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.9 / 42.6 41.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 88.4 / 73.7 67.0 / 92.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 32.5 31.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.5 / 5.3 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 11.2 8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
FRES
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
FRES Advantage
21-10-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
FRES
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -4.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FRES
WYO
FRES
WYO
ML
59% 19-13
52% 17-16
74% 23-8
70% 23-10
ATS
75% 24-8
64% 21-12
74% 23-8
70% 23-10
TTL
56% 18-14
64% 21-12
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 9 hours ago
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
si 5 days, 15 hours ago
Michigan State's Exhibition Win Reveals Key Player Development a…
yahoo 5 days, 22 hours ago
WKU Men's Basketball Kicks Off Official Practices with Revamped …
wnky 1 week ago
Oregon Freshman Jett Washington Embraces Kobe Bryant Legacy Whil…
si 1 week, 1 day ago