DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
9-9 | Road
67
UIC
FLAMESUIC
8-10 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
FLAMES
0%
BULLDOGS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (UIC)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIC -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)
DRKE By 1-7 points
3.3%
DRKE By 8-14 points
0.6%
UIC By 1-7 points
12.2%
UIC By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Drake
51
DRAKE
UIC
68
UIC
Simulated Score
Drake
75
DRAKE
UIC
68
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flames (-5)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.0
Loss
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u140.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
DRKE @ UIC
51 - 72
Feb 12, 2026
UIC @ DRKE
80 - 70
Jan 17, 2026
DRKE @ UIC
67 - 74
Feb 19, 2025
UIC @ DRKE
57 - 74
Jan 1, 2025
DRKE @ UIC
70 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.0% more
UIC: 2.7
vs
Drake: 2.1
Steals (L5)
+13.0% more
UIC: 6.7
vs
Drake: 5.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
UIC: 70.2%
vs
Drake: 64.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
UIC: 46.4%
vs
Drake: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DRKE Score
51.0
67
UIC Score
68.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.5 / 33.7
40.0 / 28.0
Assists
13.4 / 14.2
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.7 / 2.1
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 42.2
39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 64.6
63.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 35.7
41.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.7 / 5.9
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 13.4
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DRKE
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DRKE
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
DRKE
UIC
DRKE
ML
57%
20-15
59%
20-14
44%
15-19
38%
13-21
ATS
54%
19-16
85%
29-5
44%
15-19
38%
13-21
TTL
60%
21-14
56%
19-15
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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