PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
24-17 | Road
106
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
25-16 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
KNICKS
100%
SUNS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
27.2%
PHX By 8-14 points
20.1%
NY By 1-7 points
21.6%
NY By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
119
PHOENIX
New York
116
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Phoenix
105
PHOENIX
New York
110
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (+1)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o223.5
Loss
Proj Total: 235.0
D
Sim
u223.5
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
PHX @ NY
106 - 99
Jan 9, 2026
NY @ PHX
107 - 112
Apr 6, 2025
PHX @ NY
98 - 112
Nov 20, 2024
NY @ PHX
138 - 122
Dec 15, 2023
NY @ PHX
139 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+37.9% more
Phoenix: 10.8
vs
New York: 6.7
Blocks (L5)
+26.0% more
Phoenix: 5.4
vs
New York: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+10.6% more
Phoenix: 13.9
vs
New York: 12.5
Assists (L5)
+10.2% more
New York: 26.4
vs
Phoenix: 24.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
119.0
106
NY Score
116.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 34.7
32.0 / 36.0
Assists
26.4 / 24.0
20.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.4
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 42.9
40.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 77.1
76.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
43.8 / 44.9
47.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.7 / 10.8
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 13.9
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHX
NY
PHX
ML
61%
114-72
57%
60-45
56%
57-45
51%
45-43
ATS
67%
124-62
58%
59-43-3
56%
57-45
51%
45-43
TTL
72%
133-53
59%
61-42-2
100%
102-0
100%
88-0
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