BUFFALO
BULLSBUF
13-4 | Road
102
MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
18-0 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
REDHAWKS
100%
BULLS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
BUF By 1-7 points
26.2%
BUF By 8-14 points
16.9%
M-OH By 1-7 points
24.3%
M-OH By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Buffalo
87
BUFFALO
Miami (OH)
86
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
Buffalo
70
BUFFALO
Miami (OH)
78
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
RedHawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
RedHawks (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
RedHawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o163.5
Win
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 3, 2026
M-OH @ BUF
73 - 71
Jan 17, 2026
BUF @ M-OH
102 - 105
Mar 4, 2025
M-OH @ BUF
84 - 69
Jan 4, 2025
BUF @ M-OH
79 - 93
Jan 9, 2024
M-OH @ BUF
86 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.5% more
Buffalo: 9.2
vs
Miami (OH): 8.3
Blocks (L5)
+84.1% more
Miami (OH): 4.5
vs
Buffalo: 2.5
Turnovers (L5)
+19.9% more
Miami (OH): 11.1
vs
Buffalo: 9.3
Rebounding (L5)
+17.7% more
Miami (OH): 35.3
vs
Buffalo: 30.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUF Score
87.0
102
M-OH Score
86.0
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.4 / 39.2
45.0 / 50.0
Assists
16.8 / 16.7
19.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.5 / 2.5
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
54.7 / 47.2
58.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
85.1 / 73.6
62.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
35.3 / 30.0
31.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.3 / 9.2
10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 9.3
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUF
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUF
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: +1.8
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BUF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.6
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
BUF
M-OH
BUF
ML
45%
15-18
45%
14-17
41%
13-19
45%
14-17
ATS
61%
20-13
55%
17-14
41%
13-19
45%
14-17
TTL
61%
20-13
48%
15-16
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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