KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
4-15 | Road
62
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
JACKRABBITSSDST
9-10 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
ROOS
0%
JACKRABBITS
100%
ROOS
--
JACKRABBITS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KC -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
KC By 1-7 points
5.8%
KC By 8-14 points
15.3%
SDST By 1-7 points
1.1%
SDST By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
100
KANSAS CITY
South Dakota State
78
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Simulated Score
Kansas City
72
KANSAS CITY
South Dakota State
78
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Roos
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jackrabbits
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Roos (+5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Jackrabbits (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
SDST @ KC
73 - 59
Jan 17, 2026
KC @ SDST
62 - 90
Feb 23, 2025
KC @ SDST
65 - 70
Jan 23, 2025
SDST @ KC
65 - 64
Feb 15, 2024
SDST @ KC
67 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+33.2% more
Kansas City: 4.1
vs
South Dakota State: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+14.3% more
Kansas City: 12.6
vs
South Dakota State: 10.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Kansas City: 40.0%
vs
South Dakota State: 35.4%
Assists (L5)
+17.3% more
South Dakota State: 14.0
vs
Kansas City: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
100.0
62
SDST Score
78.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.4 / 40.0
39.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.0 / 11.9
21.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.1
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 47.2
62.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 71.4
60.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 33.1
36.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.4 / 5.7
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 12.6
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
SDST
Advantage
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
SDST
Advantage
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDST
KC
SDST
KC
ML
75%
24-8
63%
19-11
53%
17-15
67%
20-10
ATS
78%
25-7
67%
20-10
53%
17-15
67%
20-10
TTL
53%
17-15
70%
21-9
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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