MORGAN STATE
BEARSMORG
4-13 | Road
80
DELAWARE STATE
HORNETSDSU
5-13 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
HORNETS
100%
BEARS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
MORGAN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Morgan State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MORG -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MORG)
MORG By 1-7 points
15.3%
MORG By 8-14 points
25.3%
DSU By 1-7 points
4.8%
DSU By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Morgan State
74
MORGAN STATE
Delaware State
59
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
Morgan State
68
MORGAN STATE
Delaware State
72
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bears (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
DSU @ MORG
75 - 70
Feb 21, 2026
DSU @ MORG
68 - 82
Jan 17, 2026
MORG @ DSU
80 - 79
Mar 3, 2025
DSU @ MORG
81 - 87
Feb 3, 2025
MORG @ DSU
82 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.3% more
Morgan State: 31.9
vs
Delaware State: 27.3
Assists (L5)
+13.8% more
Morgan State: 12.9
vs
Delaware State: 11.1
Blocks (L5)
+8.9% more
Morgan State: 2.3
vs
Delaware State: 2.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Morgan State: 42.2%
vs
Delaware State: 40.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MORG Score
74.0
80
DSU Score
59.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 30.4
27.0 / 42.0
Assists
11.1 / 12.9
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.3
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 42.2
45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
69.1 / 67.9
69.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
27.3 / 31.9
39.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.2 / 4.4
4.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 11.6
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MORG
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.1
DSU
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MORG
Advantage
14-12-1
(53.8%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.1
DSU
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MORG
16-11-0
O: 59.3% / U: 40.7%
Total +/-: +2.5
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
MORG
DSU
MORG
ML
60%
18-12
50%
14-14
75%
18-6
58%
14-10
ATS
60%
18-12
50%
14-14
72%
18-7
58%
14-10
TTL
57%
17-13
50%
14-14
100%
25-0
100%
24-0
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