Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Buffaloes @ Mountaineers COLO @ WVU

COLORADO

BUFFALOESCOLO

12-5  |  Road

61
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 6:00 PM ET
WVU Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

11-6  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BUFFALOES
0%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
100%
BUFFALOES --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Colorado)
BuffaloesCOLO (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Buffaloes Cover

97.1%

Mountaineers Cover

2.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLO -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

COLO By 1-7 points

9.3%

COLO By 8-14 points

20.1%

WVU By 1-7 points

2.2%

WVU By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
85
COLORADO
66
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
68
COLORADO
73
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Buffaloes (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 COLO @ WVU 61 - 72
Mar 12, 2025 COLO @ WVU 67 - 60
Jan 12, 2025 WVU @ COLO 78 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.5% more
Colorado: 3.4 vs West Virginia: 2.2
Steals (L5) +22.0% more
Colorado: 6.0 vs West Virginia: 4.7
Assists (L5) +19.4% more
Colorado: 14.7 vs West Virginia: 11.8
Free Throw % (L5) +18.7%
Colorado: 81.6% vs West Virginia: 62.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLO Score 85.0 61
WVU Score 66.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.3 / 32.3 27.0 / 27.0
Assists 11.8 / 14.7 10.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.4 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.6 / 44.7 52.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 62.9 / 81.6 64.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 33.4 / 36.2 38.0 / 22.0
Steals 4.7 / 6.0 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 12.4 9.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
3%MONEY97%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -0.7
WVU
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +4.8
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
COLO
WVU
COLO
ML
63% 22-13
61% 20-13
76% 26-8
69% 22-10
ATS
60% 21-14
73% 24-9
76% 26-8
69% 22-10
TTL
40% 14-21
45% 15-18
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 2 hours, 57 minutes ago
Colorado Buffaloes Playbook Left in Hotel Bar, Found by Texas Te…
si 4 days, 3 hours ago
WVU Lands Major Eligibility Boost: Lorient and Buchanan Cleared …
si 1 week, 1 day ago
West Virginia's Defense Exposed in 41-24 Loss to Oklahoma State
wvnews 1 week, 4 days ago
West Virginia Men's Basketball Opens Fall Practice with Revamped…
wvnews 2 weeks, 3 days ago