SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
SPARTANSUPST
9-10 | Road
69
HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
16-4 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
SPARTANS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
170.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (High Point)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)
UPST By 1-7 points
23.0%
UPST By 8-14 points
12.2%
HPU By 1-7 points
26.8%
HPU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina Upstate
84
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
High Point
86
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
South Carolina Upstate
71
SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE
High Point
78
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 170.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
HPU @ UPST
95 - 70
Jan 17, 2026
UPST @ HPU
69 - 89
Feb 26, 2025
UPST @ HPU
66 - 88
Jan 22, 2025
HPU @ UPST
86 - 77
Feb 14, 2024
UPST @ HPU
86 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+74.9% more
High Point: 16.2
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 9.3
Steals (L5)
+50.2% more
High Point: 8.2
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 5.5
Rebounding (L5)
+9.1% more
High Point: 40.5
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 37.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.4%
High Point: 70.6%
vs
South Carolina Upstate: 67.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UPST Score
84.0
69
HPU Score
86.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 31.4
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
16.2 / 9.3
17.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.0
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 42.7
50.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 67.2
71.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
40.5 / 37.2
37.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.5
8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 11.4
5.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UPST
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UPST
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UPST
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -3.5
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
UPST
HPU
UPST
ML
80%
28-7
61%
19-12
80%
28-7
83%
25-5
ATS
71%
25-10
61%
19-12
80%
28-7
83%
25-5
TTL
66%
23-12
52%
16-15
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
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