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SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

10-7  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 6:00 PM ET
Neville Arena
View Odds Details →

AUBURN

TIGERSAUB

10-7  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
GAMECOCKS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
AUBURN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Auburn)
GamecocksSC (-3.5) 0 TigersAUB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

24.2%

Tigers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AUB -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AUB)

SC By 1-7 points

15.3%

SC By 8-14 points

5.8%

AUB By 1-7 points

26.2%

AUB By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
84
SOUTH CAROLINA
91
AUBURN
Simulated Score
70
SOUTH CAROLINA
78
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 SC @ AUB 67 - 71
Jan 11, 2025 AUB @ SC 66 - 63
Mar 15, 2024 SC @ AUB 55 - 86
Feb 14, 2024 SC @ AUB 61 - 101
Jan 21, 2023 AUB @ SC 81 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +61.0% more
Auburn: 4.0 vs South Carolina: 2.5
Steals (L5) +56.2% more
Auburn: 7.7 vs South Carolina: 5.0
Rebounding (L5) +16.4% more
Auburn: 37.4 vs South Carolina: 32.2
Assists (L5) +8.1% more
Auburn: 14.6 vs South Carolina: 13.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SC Score 84.0 67
AUB Score 91.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.4 / 31.4 11.0 / 32.0
Assists 14.6 / 13.5 10.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.5 8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 45.3 41.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 71.5 / 78.2 77.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 32.2 35.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.7 / 5.0 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.8 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
96%MONEY4%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
AUB Advantage
22-16-0 (57.9%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
AUB
15-23-0 (39.5%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
SC
AUB
SC
ML
58% 22-16
72% 23-9
75% 24-8
68% 21-10
ATS
74% 28-10
69% 22-10
75% 24-8
68% 21-10
TTL
53% 20-18
50% 16-16
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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