NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
17-0 | Road
77
NORTHWESTERN
WILDCATSNU
8-9 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
CORNHUSKERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-54.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +54.0 points (Northwestern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NU -54.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)
NEB By 1-7 points
0.0%
NEB By 8-14 points
0.0%
NU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
52
NEBRASKA
Northwestern
106
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
Nebraska
70
NEBRASKA
Northwestern
72
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -54.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
NU @ NEB
49 - 68
Jan 17, 2026
NEB @ NU
77 - 58
Feb 16, 2025
NEB @ NU
68 - 64
Feb 7, 2024
NEB @ NU
68 - 80
Jan 20, 2024
NU @ NEB
69 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+111.0% more
Northwestern: 4.8
vs
Nebraska: 2.3
Steals (L5)
+30.3% more
Nebraska: 8.4
vs
Northwestern: 5.8
Turnovers (L5)
+18.7% more
Nebraska: 8.0
vs
Northwestern: 6.5
Rebounding (L5)
+8.7% more
Nebraska: 34.6
vs
Northwestern: 31.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
52.0
77
NU Score
106.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 38.2
36.0 / 42.0
Assists
16.1 / 17.6
15.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.8 / 2.3
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 47.4
43.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
77.0 / 79.7
70.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 34.6
30.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.8 / 8.4
1.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
6.5 / 8.0
11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
NU
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
Advantage
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
NU
16-16-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
NEB
NU
NEB
ML
47%
16-18
51%
18-17
68%
23-11
62%
21-13
ATS
50%
17-17
54%
19-16
68%
23-11
62%
21-13
TTL
53%
18-16
63%
22-13
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
Oregon Ducks NFL Quarterbacks Hit Rough Patch: Mariota Injured, …