Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Orange @ Eagles SYR @ BC

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

12-5  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 2:00 PM ET
Conte Forum
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

7-10  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
ORANGE
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
ORANGE --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
172.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Boston College)
OrangeSYR (-3.5) 0 EaglesBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Orange Cover

27.4%

Eagles Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BC -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

SYR By 1-7 points

16.9%

SYR By 8-14 points

6.8%

BC By 1-7 points

26.8%

BC By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
83
SYRACUSE
89
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
70
SYRACUSE
72
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Win
Proj Total: 172.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 SYR @ BC 73 - 81
Feb 8, 2025 BC @ SYR 86 - 95
Jan 11, 2025 SYR @ BC 79 - 71
Jan 30, 2024 SYR @ BC 75 - 80
Jan 10, 2024 BC @ SYR 59 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.3% more
Syracuse: 16.3 vs Boston College: 10.5
Blocks (L5) +19.4% more
Syracuse: 5.9 vs Boston College: 4.8
Steals (L5) +18.4% more
Syracuse: 6.7 vs Boston College: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5) +16.4%
Syracuse: 69.4% vs Boston College: 53.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SYR Score 83.0 73
BC Score 89.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 39.0 40.0 / 39.0
Assists 10.5 / 16.3 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.8 / 5.9 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.8 / 52.2 41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 53.0 / 69.4 72.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 34.6 38.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.5 / 6.7 11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 12.8 8.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
95%MONEY5%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
BC Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
SYR
BC
SYR
ML
61% 19-12
78% 25-7
61% 17-11
69% 22-10
ATS
73% 22-8-1
69% 22-10
61% 17-11
69% 22-10
TTL
61% 19-12
66% 21-11
100% 28-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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