MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
26-13-9 | Road
5
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
26-16-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 3.89 | 0.833 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 4.86 | 0.861 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.89 Ldr
GAA
4.86
0.833
Save %
Ldr 0.861
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
SABRES
100%
WILD
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
12.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
37.2%
BUF By 1 goal
2.8%
BUF By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wild (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
MIN @ BUF
2 - 3
Jan 17, 2026
MIN @ BUF
5 - 4
Nov 29, 2025
BUF @ MIN
3 - 2
Mar 22, 2025
BUF @ MIN
1 - 4
Nov 27, 2024
MIN @ BUF
1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+23.4% more
Minnesota: 30.9
vs
Buffalo: 23.7
Hits (L5)
+36.4% more
Buffalo: 20.6
vs
Minnesota: 15.1
Power Play % (L5)
+9.2%
Buffalo: 27.5%
vs
Minnesota: 18.3%
Takeaways (L5)
+8.4% more
Buffalo: 5.3
vs
Minnesota: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
5.0
5
BUF Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 12.1
16.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
45.8 / 45.7
44.8 / 55.2
Hits
20.6 / 15.1
21.0 / 31.0
Power Play %
27.5 / 18.3
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
23.7 / 30.9
24.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.9
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
MIN
BUF
MIN
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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