EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
23-17-8 | Road
6
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
16-26-5 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Tristan Jarry
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Nikita Tolopilo
#60 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Nikita Tolopilo | None-None | 6.01 | 0.829 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
6.01
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.829
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
CANUCKS
100%
OILERS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
VAN By 1 goal
12.1%
VAN By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Vancouver
2
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canucks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 1, 2026
EDM @ VAN
9 - 7
Sep 29, 2026
VAN @ EDM
6 - 5
Apr 16, 2026
VAN @ EDM
1 - 6
Jan 17, 2026
EDM @ VAN
6 - 0
Oct 26, 2025
EDM @ VAN
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.4% more
Edmonton: 32.7
vs
Vancouver: 26.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.7%
Edmonton: 50.7%
vs
Vancouver: 46.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+41.6% more
Vancouver: 5.2
vs
Edmonton: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
6
VAN Score
2.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 14.0
8.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
46.1 / 50.7
57.8 / 42.2
Hits
16.8 / 15.9
19.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
23.0 / 23.3
0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.7 / 32.7
31.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 3.7
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
EDM
VAN
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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