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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

26-16-5  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 3:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

20-23-4  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
Dustin Wolf None-None 2.00 0.933 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.00
-- Save % 0.933
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
ISLANDERS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

30.9%

Flames Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

NYI By 1 goal

12.1%

NYI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
NEW YORK
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 CGY @ NYI 2 - 3
Jan 17, 2026 NYI @ CGY 2 - 4
Mar 22, 2025 CGY @ NYI 4 - 3
Nov 19, 2024 NYI @ CGY 1 - 2
Feb 10, 2024 CGY @ NYI 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +40.0% more
Calgary: 22.0 vs New York: 15.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.6% more
Calgary: 27.2 vs New York: 23.8
Blocked Shots (L5) +9.3% more
New York: 14.4 vs Calgary: 13.1
Faceoff % (L5) +4.8%
New York: 50.9% vs Calgary: 46.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 3.0 2
CGY Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.1 / 14.4 14.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 46.1 / 50.9 34.7 / 65.3
Hits 22.0 / 15.7 9.0 / 25.0
Power Play % 3233.0 / 3474.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.2 / 23.8 19.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 5.0 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
69%MONEY31%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
78%MONEY22%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
NYI
CGY
NYI
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
67% 2-1
100% 2-0-1
0% 0-3
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 41 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 41 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 7 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 13 hours ago