COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
21-19-7 | Road
4
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
22-14-10 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Elvis Merzlikins
#90 | G@
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | None-None | 2.77 | 0.909 | -- |
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 2.79 | 0.885 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77 Ldr
GAA
2.79
0.909 Ldr
Save %
0.885
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
BLUE JACKETS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PIT +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
CBJ By 1 goal
19.7%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PIT By 1 goal
12.1%
PIT By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Penguins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
CBJ @ PIT
4 - 3
Jan 4, 2026
PIT @ CBJ
5 - 4
Nov 28, 2025
PIT @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CBJ @ PIT
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+18.4%
Columbus: 49.1%
vs
Pittsburgh: 30.7%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+18.0% more
Columbus: 35.6
vs
Pittsburgh: 29.2
Hits (L5)
+16.2% more
Columbus: 19.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 16.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.2% more
Columbus: 16.5
vs
Pittsburgh: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
3.0
4
PIT Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 16.5
14.0 / 24.0
Faceoff %
52.1 / 50.7
58.1 / 41.9
Hits
16.6 / 19.8
17.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
3065.0 / 4908.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 35.6
32.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 4.1
3.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CBJ
PIT
CBJ
ML
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-2
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…