GEORGIA TECH
YELLOW JACKETSGT
10-8 | Road
78
NC STATE
WOLFPACKNCSU
12-5 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
WOLFPACK
0%
YELLOW JACKETS
--
WOLFPACK
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NC STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (NC State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCSU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCSU)
GT By 1-7 points
21.6%
GT By 8-14 points
10.7%
NCSU By 1-7 points
27.2%
NCSU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Tech
80
GEORGIA TECH
NC State
83
NC STATE
Simulated Score
Georgia Tech
70
GEORGIA TECH
NC State
78
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolfpack
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolfpack
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolfpack (+17.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Wolfpack (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
GT @ NCSU
78 - 74
Mar 1, 2025
NCSU @ GT
62 - 87
Feb 3, 2024
GT @ NCSU
76 - 82
Feb 4, 2023
GT @ NCSU
64 - 72
Jan 17, 2023
NCSU @ GT
78 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+98.2% more
NC State: 9.9
vs
Georgia Tech: 5.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
NC State: 45.2%
vs
Georgia Tech: 38.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
NC State: 48.0%
vs
Georgia Tech: 43.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+35.1% more
Georgia Tech: 13.8
vs
NC State: 9.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GT Score
80.0
78
NCSU Score
83.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.2 / 38.9
36.0 / 45.0
Assists
17.0 / 16.9
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.0
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 43.8
37.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 73.9
64.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 35.9
34.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.9 / 5.0
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 13.8
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
NCSU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
NCSU
Advantage
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
NCSU
21-13-0
O: 61.8% / U: 38.2%
Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
GT
NCSU
GT
ML
59%
20-14
61%
19-12
55%
18-15
63%
19-11
ATS
71%
24-10
55%
17-14
55%
18-15
63%
19-11
TTL
71%
24-10
61%
19-12
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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