AI Model Win Probability
CHANTICLEERS
100%
EAGLES
0%
CHANTICLEERS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Georgia Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GASO -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)
CCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
CCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
GASO By 1-7 points
0.0%
GASO By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Coastal Carolina
51
COASTAL CAROLINA
Georgia Southern
97
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Coastal Carolina
70
COASTAL CAROLINA
Georgia Southern
75
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
GASO @ CCU
96 - 72
Jan 17, 2026
CCU @ GASO
79 - 75
Jan 1, 2026
GASO @ CCU
82 - 81
Jan 23, 2025
CCU @ GASO
58 - 85
Jan 16, 2025
GASO @ CCU
88 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+102.3% more
Georgia Southern: 7.0
vs
Coastal Carolina: 3.5
Blocks (L5)
+54.9% more
Georgia Southern: 5.3
vs
Coastal Carolina: 3.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.7%
Coastal Carolina: 39.5%
vs
Georgia Southern: 33.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Coastal Carolina: 75.6%
vs
Georgia Southern: 72.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCU Score
51.0
79
GASO Score
97.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 39.5
29.0 / 26.0
Assists
10.9 / 10.3
11.0 / 4.0
Blocks
5.3 / 3.4
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.9 / 47.0
36.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 75.6
57.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 34.5
40.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.0 / 3.5
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 10.1
5.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
GASO
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU
Advantage
18-12-1
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +0.4
GASO
17-18-0
(48.6%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
17-13-1
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.6
GASO
18-17-0
O: 51.4% / U: 48.6%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
CCU
GASO
CCU
ML
56%
20-16
41%
13-19
58%
19-14
55%
17-14
ATS
64%
23-13
38%
12-20
58%
19-14
55%
17-14
TTL
61%
22-14
75%
24-8
100%
33-0
100%
31-0