QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
10-8 | Road
87
STETSON
HATTERSSTET
7-11 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
HATTERS
0%
ROYALS
--
HATTERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
STETSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Stetson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STET -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STET)
QUC By 1-7 points
18.6%
QUC By 8-14 points
8.0%
STET By 1-7 points
27.2%
STET By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
62
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Stetson
67
STETSON
Simulated Score
Queens University
74
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Stetson
78
STETSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hatters
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hatters
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hatters (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Hatters (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.0
Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u162.0
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
QUC @ STET
87 - 81
Jan 16, 2025
QUC @ STET
95 - 60
Mar 5, 2024
QUC @ STET
71 - 83
Feb 22, 2024
QUC @ STET
83 - 75
Jan 12, 2024
STET @ QUC
84 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+51.6% more
Stetson: 7.0
vs
Queens University: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+45.0% more
Stetson: 13.9
vs
Queens University: 9.6
Assists (L5)
+10.3% more
Stetson: 17.2
vs
Queens University: 15.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Stetson: 42.8%
vs
Queens University: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
62.0
87
STET Score
67.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.8 / 32.7
36.0 / 25.0
Assists
17.2 / 15.6
16.0 / 21.0
Blocks
1.9 / 3.3
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.5 / 46.5
48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 72.7
62.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
32.8 / 37.5
34.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.0 / 4.6
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 9.6
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
STET
Advantage
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STET
QUC
STET
QUC
ML
55%
18-15
71%
25-10
73%
24-9
71%
24-10
ATS
64%
21-12
86%
30-5
73%
24-9
71%
24-10
TTL
61%
20-13
47%
16-18-1
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
