Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Pirates BUT @ HALL

BUTLER

BULLDOGSBUT

10-7  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 12:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

SETON HALL

PIRATESHALL

14-3  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
PIRATES
0%
BULLDOGS --
PIRATES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Seton Hall)
BulldogsBUT (-3.5) 0 PiratesHALL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

0.1%

Pirates Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HALL -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)

BUT By 1-7 points

0.1%

BUT By 8-14 points

0.0%

HALL By 1-7 points

1.1%

HALL By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
59
BUTLER
89
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
71
BUTLER
76
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pirates Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pirates Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pirates (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Pirates (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 HALL @ BUT 63 - 56
Jan 17, 2026 BUT @ HALL 77 - 66
Feb 5, 2025 BUT @ HALL 84 - 54
Jan 15, 2025 HALL @ BUT 77 - 82
Feb 24, 2024 BUT @ HALL 64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +81.3% more
Seton Hall: 5.6 vs Butler: 3.1
Steals (L5) +49.3% more
Seton Hall: 8.1 vs Butler: 5.4
Assists (L5) +39.7% more
Butler: 16.2 vs Seton Hall: 9.8
Turnovers (L5) +15.8% more
Butler: 14.0 vs Seton Hall: 11.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUT Score 59.0 77
HALL Score 89.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 22.1 / 31.7 18.0 / 22.0
Assists 9.8 / 16.2 11.0 / 7.0
Blocks 5.6 / 3.1 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 44.2 36.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 80.7 68.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 38.5 / 36.5 45.0 / 27.0
Steals 8.1 / 5.4 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 14.0 13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUT
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
HALL Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUT
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
HALL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.0
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
BUT
HALL
BUT
ML
41% 13-19
62% 20-12
60% 18-12
65% 20-11
ATS
50% 16-16
56% 18-14
60% 18-12
65% 20-11
TTL
53% 17-15
50% 16-16
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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