KENTUCKY
WILDCATSUK
11-6 | Road
80
TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
12-5 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
VOLUNTEERS
0%
WILDCATS
--
VOLUNTEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Tennessee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
UK By 1-7 points
0.0%
UK By 8-14 points
0.0%
TENN By 1-7 points
0.1%
TENN By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Kentucky
51
KENTUCKY
Tennessee
91
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Kentucky
75
KENTUCKY
Tennessee
78
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
TENN @ UK
71 - 74
Jan 17, 2026
UK @ TENN
80 - 78
Mar 28, 2025
UK @ TENN
65 - 78
Feb 11, 2025
TENN @ UK
64 - 75
Jan 28, 2025
UK @ TENN
78 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+55.1% more
Tennessee: 15.8
vs
Kentucky: 10.2
Rebounding (L5)
+35.9% more
Tennessee: 44.4
vs
Kentucky: 32.7
Assists (L5)
+16.5% more
Kentucky: 16.2
vs
Tennessee: 13.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Kentucky: 38.3%
vs
Tennessee: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UK Score
51.0
80
TENN Score
91.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 38.3
42.0 / 46.0
Assists
13.5 / 16.2
18.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.5
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 47.6
47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
67.3 / 69.2
69.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
44.4 / 32.7
36.0 / 29.0
Steals
9.2 / 8.7
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 10.2
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UK
22-14-0
(61.1%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UK
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
TENN
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
UK
TENN
UK
ML
46%
17-20
71%
25-10
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
ATS
54%
20-17
83%
29-6
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
TTL
76%
28-9
63%
22-13
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
.jpg)
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…