TEXAS A&M
AGGIESTA&M
13-4 | Road
74
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
11-6 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
LONGHORNS
0%
AGGIES
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TEX -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TA&M By 1-7 points
10.7%
TA&M By 8-14 points
3.3%
TEX By 1-7 points
23.0%
TEX By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M
58
TEXAS A&M
Texas
68
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Texas A&M
72
TEXAS A&M
Texas
78
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
TEX @ TA&M
76 - 70
Jan 17, 2026
TA&M @ TEX
74 - 70
Mar 13, 2025
TEX @ TA&M
94 - 89
Jan 25, 2025
TA&M @ TEX
69 - 70
Jan 4, 2025
TEX @ TA&M
60 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+12.9% more
Texas: 41.0
vs
Texas A&M: 36.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Texas: 77.8%
vs
Texas A&M: 70.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Texas: 48.1%
vs
Texas A&M: 43.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Texas: 37.9%
vs
Texas A&M: 34.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score
58.0
74
TEX Score
68.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 34.0
29.0 / 40.0
Assists
12.0 / 16.1
10.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.9 / 4.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 43.8
42.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 70.7
77.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 36.4
37.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.6 / 10.3
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.3
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
TEX
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.0
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
TA&M
TEX
TA&M
ML
58%
21-15
67%
20-10
56%
19-15
54%
15-13
ATS
56%
20-16
67%
20-10
56%
19-15
54%
15-13
TTL
64%
23-13
70%
21-9
100%
34-0
100%
28-0
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