KANSAS STATE
WILDCATSKSU
9-8 | Road
83
OKLAHOMA STATE
COWBOYSOKST
13-4 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
COWBOYS
100%
WILDCATS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
KANSAS STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Kansas State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KSU -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KSU)
KSU By 1-7 points
0.3%
KSU By 8-14 points
1.7%
OKST By 1-7 points
0.0%
OKST By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas State
104
KANSAS STATE
Oklahoma State
69
OKLAHOMA STATE
Simulated Score
Kansas State
68
KANSAS STATE
Oklahoma State
72
OKLAHOMA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u175.5
Win
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim
u175.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
KSU @ OKST
83 - 84
Jan 29, 2025
OKST @ KSU
57 - 85
Jan 7, 2025
KSU @ OKST
66 - 79
Feb 3, 2024
KSU @ OKST
72 - 75
Jan 20, 2024
OKST @ KSU
66 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.0% more
Kansas State: 19.2
vs
Oklahoma State: 14.8
Blocks (L5)
+19.9% more
Kansas State: 2.7
vs
Oklahoma State: 2.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.4%
Oklahoma State: 39.6%
vs
Kansas State: 28.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.2%
Oklahoma State: 46.1%
vs
Kansas State: 42.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KSU Score
104.0
83
OKST Score
69.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 28.2
33.0 / 45.0
Assists
14.8 / 19.2
14.0 / 22.0
Blocks
2.2 / 2.7
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 42.9
41.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
70.9 / 70.4
83.0 / 40.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 35.4
37.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.9
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 11.9
7.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -2.9
OKST
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -2.9
OKST
Advantage
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
KSU
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
OKST
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKST
KSU
OKST
KSU
ML
60%
21-14
59%
19-13
66%
21-11
69%
22-10
ATS
57%
20-15
62%
20-12
66%
21-11
69%
22-10
TTL
57%
20-15
47%
15-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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