FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
5-9 | Road
71
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
GOLDEN LIONSUAPB
6-11 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
100%
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
RATTLERS
--
GOLDEN LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +33.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAPB -33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)
FAMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FAMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
UAPB By 1-7 points
0.5%
UAPB By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida A&M
62
FLORIDA A&M
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
95
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Simulated Score
Florida A&M
72
FLORIDA A&M
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
75
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Lions (-3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -33.0
D
Sim
Golden Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
FAMU @ UAPB
71 - 67
Jan 18, 2025
UAPB @ FAMU
76 - 86
Jan 20, 2024
FAMU @ UAPB
97 - 99
Jan 14, 2023
UAPB @ FAMU
67 - 54
Jan 15, 2022
FAMU @ UAPB
71 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+34.6% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 3.3
vs
Florida A&M: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+23.4% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 15.9
vs
Florida A&M: 12.9
Rebounding (L5)
+21.3% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 37.8
vs
Florida A&M: 31.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 37.3%
vs
Florida A&M: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score
62.0
71
UAPB Score
95.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 33.6
35.0 / 32.0
Assists
15.9 / 12.9
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.3 / 2.5
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 46.5
46.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
70.8 / 72.7
84.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
37.8 / 31.1
24.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.3
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 15.3
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
UAPB
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
UAPB
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAPB
FAMU
UAPB
FAMU
ML
74%
23-8
55%
16-13
73%
19-7
71%
17-7
ATS
73%
22-8-1
48%
14-15
73%
19-7
71%
17-7
TTL
68%
21-10
76%
22-7
100%
26-0
100%
24-0
