EASTERN WASHINGTON
EAGLESEWU
3-14 | Road
84
IDAHO STATE
BENGALSIDST
10-8 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
BENGALS
100%
EAGLES
--
BENGALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
IDAHO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IDST +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IDST)
EWU By 1-7 points
27.4%
EWU By 8-14 points
21.6%
IDST By 1-7 points
20.1%
IDST By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Washington
82
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Idaho State
78
IDAHO STATE
Simulated Score
Eastern Washington
65
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Idaho State
82
IDAHO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Eagles
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bengals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bengals (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Bengals (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
IDST @ EWU
75 - 88
Jan 17, 2026
EWU @ IDST
84 - 66
Mar 1, 2025
IDST @ EWU
78 - 54
Jan 30, 2025
EWU @ IDST
70 - 78
Feb 15, 2024
IDST @ EWU
82 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.1% more
Eastern Washington: 6.3
vs
Idaho State: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+20.9% more
Eastern Washington: 13.0
vs
Idaho State: 10.3
Turnovers (L5)
+13.8% more
Eastern Washington: 12.4
vs
Idaho State: 10.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.2%
Eastern Washington: 83.9%
vs
Idaho State: 76.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EWU Score
82.0
84
IDST Score
78.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 32.5
20.0 / 53.0
Assists
10.3 / 13.0
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.4
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 44.0
38.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 83.9
90.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
32.9 / 31.1
30.0 / 28.0
Steals
4.8 / 6.3
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 12.4
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
IDST
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: +2.6
IDST
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.2
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDST
EWU
IDST
EWU
ML
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
ATS
50%
16-16
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
69%
22-10
TTL
59%
19-13
48%
16-17
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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