AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
JAGUARS
100%
TITANS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DETM -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
DETM By 1-7 points
0.0%
DETM By 8-14 points
0.1%
IUIN By 1-7 points
0.0%
IUIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit Mercy
88
DETROIT MERCY
IU Indianapolis
42
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Detroit Mercy
68
DETROIT MERCY
IU Indianapolis
72
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
DETM @ IUIN
80 - 77
Dec 3, 2025
IUIN @ DETM
78 - 92
Feb 19, 2025
IUIN @ DETM
80 - 71
Jan 9, 2025
DETM @ IUIN
61 - 95
Feb 14, 2024
IUIN @ DETM
66 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+28.2% more
Detroit Mercy: 39.8
vs
IU Indianapolis: 28.6
Blocks (L5)
+26.6% more
Detroit Mercy: 2.9
vs
IU Indianapolis: 2.1
Turnovers (L5)
+15.5% more
Detroit Mercy: 11.3
vs
IU Indianapolis: 9.5
Steals (L5)
+50.1% more
IU Indianapolis: 10.1
vs
Detroit Mercy: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DETM Score
88.0
80
IUIN Score
42.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 35.9
21.0 / 35.0
Assists
18.4 / 12.8
21.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 43.3
46.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
77.7 / 63.4
70.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
28.6 / 39.8
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
10.1 / 6.7
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 11.3
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
DETM
IUIN
DETM
ML
69%
22-10
58%
18-13
78%
25-7
50%
15-15
ATS
66%
21-11
61%
19-12
78%
25-7
50%
15-15
TTL
50%
16-16
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0