DUQUESNE
DUKESDUQ
9-8 | Road
74
FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
10-8 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
DUKES
0%
RAMS
100%
DUKES
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
DUQUESNE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Duquesne)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DUQ -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUQ)
DUQ By 1-7 points
10.7%
DUQ By 8-14 points
21.6%
FOR By 1-7 points
2.7%
FOR By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Duquesne
88
DUQUESNE
Fordham
70
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
Duquesne
67
DUQUESNE
Fordham
74
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dukes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dukes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
DUQ @ FOR
74 - 63
Feb 19, 2025
FOR @ DUQ
64 - 73
Jan 26, 2025
DUQ @ FOR
63 - 65
Feb 23, 2024
DUQ @ FOR
67 - 79
Jan 27, 2024
FOR @ DUQ
59 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.7% more
Duquesne: 3.2
vs
Fordham: 1.3
Assists (L5)
+25.0% more
Duquesne: 15.9
vs
Fordham: 12.0
Turnovers (L5)
+21.9% more
Duquesne: 12.7
vs
Fordham: 9.9
Steals (L5)
+19.7% more
Duquesne: 7.1
vs
Fordham: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DUQ Score
88.0
74
FOR Score
70.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 32.2
14.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.0 / 15.9
10.0 / 19.0
Blocks
1.3 / 3.2
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.6 / 45.8
36.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 75.6
60.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 35.8
44.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.1
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 12.7
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DUQ
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DUQ
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.3
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
DUQ
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +1.6
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
DUQ
FOR
DUQ
ML
59%
19-13
53%
17-15
59%
19-13
58%
18-13
ATS
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
59%
19-13
58%
18-13
TTL
59%
19-13
50%
16-16
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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