Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Hoyas CONN @ GTWN

UCONN

HUSKIESCONN

17-1  |  Road

64
FINAL
Sat, Jan 17 • 12:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGETOWN

HOYASGTWN

9-8  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
0%
📊
HOYAS
100%
HUSKIES --
HOYAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
UCONN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (UConn)
HuskiesCONN (-3.5) 0 HoyasGTWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

99.8%

Hoyas Cover

0.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CONN -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CONN)

CONN By 1-7 points

1.4%

CONN By 8-14 points

5.8%

GTWN By 1-7 points

0.1%

GTWN By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
78
UCONN
49
GEORGETOWN
Simulated Score
79
UCONN
65
GEORGETOWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Sim Huskies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 GTWN @ CONN 51 - 67
Feb 14, 2026 GTWN @ CONN 75 - 79
Jan 17, 2026 CONN @ GTWN 64 - 62
Feb 26, 2025 GTWN @ CONN 79 - 93
Jan 11, 2025 CONN @ GTWN 68 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +51.3% more
UConn: 5.4 vs Georgetown: 2.6
Assists (L5) +29.8% more
UConn: 17.5 vs Georgetown: 12.3
Steals (L5) +29.5% more
UConn: 8.9 vs Georgetown: 6.3
Turnovers (L5) +28.8% more
UConn: 14.3 vs Georgetown: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CONN Score 78.0 64
GTWN Score 49.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.5 / 32.8 36.0 / 19.0
Assists 12.3 / 17.5 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.6 / 5.4 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 49.6 44.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 76.4 / 72.4 78.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 35.5 40.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.3 / 8.9 3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 14.3 13.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
88%MONEY12%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CONN Advantage
34-6-0 (85.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
GTWN
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CONN Advantage
18-22-0 (45.0%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
GTWN
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CONN
19-21-0
O: 47.5% / U: 52.5% Total +/-: -1.5
GTWN
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GTWN
CONN
GTWN
CONN
ML
67% 22-11
76% 29-9
73% 22-8
66% 23-12
ATS
58% 19-14
74% 28-10
73% 22-8
66% 23-12
TTL
58% 19-14
50% 19-19
100% 30-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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