CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
23-19 | Road
117
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
22-17 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
76ERS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
25.3%
PHI By 1-7 points
15.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
122
CLEVELAND
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
107
CLEVELAND
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.0
Loss
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u233.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
PHI @ CLE
101 - 115
Jan 16, 2026
CLE @ PHI
117 - 115
Jan 14, 2026
CLE @ PHI
133 - 107
Nov 5, 2025
PHI @ CLE
121 - 132
Jan 24, 2025
CLE @ PHI
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+40.4% more
Cleveland: 35.6
vs
Philadelphia: 21.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Cleveland: 41.1%
vs
Philadelphia: 31.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Cleveland: 51.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 45.9%
Blocks (L5)
+16.4% more
Philadelphia: 5.7
vs
Cleveland: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
122.0
117
PHI Score
115.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 41.1
38.0 / 50.0
Assists
21.2 / 35.6
28.0 / 38.0
Blocks
5.7 / 4.9
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 51.7
47.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
86.1 / 80.4
89.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 41.8
37.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.6 / 8.2
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 14.6
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CLE
PHI
CLE
ML
63%
69-40
60%
69-46
48%
45-48
56%
55-44
ATS
65%
71-38
67%
75-37-3
48%
45-48
56%
55-44
TTL
55%
60-49
59%
68-47
100%
93-0
100%
99-0
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