WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
10-29 | Road
115
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
11-30 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
KINGS
0%
WIZARDS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
WSH By 1-7 points
6.8%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.7%
SAC By 1-7 points
18.6%
SAC By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
107
WASHINGTON
Sacramento
120
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Washington
105
WASHINGTON
Sacramento
118
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u232.5
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u232.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
SAC @ WSH
112 - 116
Jan 16, 2026
WSH @ SAC
115 - 128
Apr 2, 2025
SAC @ WSH
111 - 116
Jan 19, 2025
WSH @ SAC
100 - 123
Mar 21, 2024
SAC @ WSH
102 - 109
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.1%
Sacramento: 40.3%
vs
Washington: 29.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Sacramento: 49.3%
vs
Washington: 44.7%
Steals (L5)
+26.9% more
Washington: 7.7
vs
Sacramento: 5.7
Blocks (L5)
+21.2% more
Washington: 6.0
vs
Sacramento: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
107.0
115
SAC Score
120.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 29.2
48.0 / 32.0
Assists
23.1 / 24.5
36.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.7 / 6.0
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.3 / 44.7
58.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
78.9 / 84.5
63.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 43.3
45.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.7
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 16.9
19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
SAC
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
SAC
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
WSH
SAC
WSH
ML
55%
55-45
70%
112-49
61%
50-32
47%
39-44
ATS
54%
52-45-3
69%
111-49-1
61%
50-32
47%
39-44
TTL
58%
57-42-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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