Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Raptors LAC @ TOR

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

17-23  |  Road

121
FINAL
Fri, Jan 16 • 7:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

25-17  |  Home

117
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
📊
RAPTORS
100%
CLIPPERS --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (LA)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

95.5%

Raptors Cover

4.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

LAC By 1-7 points

12.2%

LAC By 8-14 points

23.0%

TOR By 1-7 points

3.3%

TOR By 8-14 points

0.6%

AI Model Projected Score
121
LA
104
TORONTO
Simulated Score
112
LA
118
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raptors Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Clippers (-2) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Raptors (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o212.5 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim u212.5 Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 25, 2026 TOR @ LAC 94 - 119
Jan 16, 2026 LAC @ TOR 121 - 117
Feb 2, 2025 LAC @ TOR 108 - 115
Nov 9, 2024 TOR @ LAC 103 - 105
Jan 26, 2024 LAC @ TOR 127 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +23.7% more
LA: 9.5 vs Toronto: 7.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.7%
LA: 39.0% vs Toronto: 27.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +11.5%
LA: 87.6% vs Toronto: 76.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
LA: 47.1% vs Toronto: 45.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 121.0 121
TOR Score 104.0 117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.3 / 39.0 33.0 / 36.0
Assists 29.7 / 23.1 30.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.6 / 4.6 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 47.1 48.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 76.2 / 87.6 85.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 44.0 / 38.7 36.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.2 / 9.5 4.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 11.8 18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
TOR Advantage
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
LAC
TOR
LAC
ML
55% 57-47
60% 59-40
55% 48-39
55% 45-37
ATS
61% 62-40-2
66% 65-33-1
55% 48-39
55% 45-37
TTL
60% 62-42
59% 58-40-1
100% 87-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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