SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
24-19-3 | Road
2
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
28-16-4 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 3.12 | 0.875 | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.909 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.12
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.875
Save %
Ldr 0.909
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
RED WINGS
100%
SHARKS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
DET By 1 goal
12.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 16, 2026
SJ @ DET
2 - 4
Nov 2, 2025
DET @ SJ
3 - 2
Jan 14, 2025
SJ @ DET
6 - 3
Nov 18, 2024
DET @ SJ
4 - 5
Jan 2, 2024
DET @ SJ
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.1% more
San Jose: 19.2
vs
Detroit: 15.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.4% more
San Jose: 25.9
vs
Detroit: 22.1
Takeaways (L5)
+13.9% more
San Jose: 5.1
vs
Detroit: 4.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.3%
San Jose: 52.2%
vs
Detroit: 43.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
2
DET Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.5 / 13.0
17.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
43.9 / 52.2
53.1 / 46.9
Hits
15.5 / 19.2
14.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
15.8 / 20.7
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.1 / 25.9
25.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 5.1
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SJ
DET
SJ
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Dylan Larkin Cleared to Return: Red Wings Star Set for Season De…
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…