Home / NHL Projections NHL / Ducks @ Kings ANA @ LA

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

22-21-3  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Jan 16 • 10:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

19-16-11  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Lukas Dostal None-None 1.85 0.929 --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 1.85 0.929 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.85 GAA 1.85
0.929 Save % 0.929
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
📊
KINGS
0%
DUCKS --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 KingsLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

6.7%

Kings Cover

93.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around LA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

ANA By 1 goal

2.8%

ANA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

LA By 1 goal

12.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ANAHEIM
4
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
4
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kings Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Kings (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 LA @ ANA 1 - 2
Jan 16, 2026 ANA @ LA 3 - 2
Dec 27, 2025 ANA @ LA 1 - 6
Nov 28, 2025 LA @ ANA 4 - 5
Oct 4, 2025 ANA @ LA 4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +13.8%
Los Angeles: 21.5% vs Anaheim: 7.7%
Faceoff % (L5) +3.1%
Los Angeles: 50.6% vs Anaheim: 47.5%
Takeaways (L5) +19.3% more
Anaheim: 5.5 vs Los Angeles: 4.4
Hits (L5) +14.6% more
Anaheim: 25.0 vs Los Angeles: 21.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 1.0 3
LA Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.1 / 14.1 11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 50.6 / 47.5 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 21.4 / 25.0 15.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 2148.0 / 771.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.1 / 26.9 28.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 5.5 6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
57%MONEY43%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
67%MONEY33%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
ANA
LA
ANA
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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