MARQUETTE
GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ
6-12 | Road
75
DEPAUL
BLUE DEMONSDEP
10-7 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
0%
BLUE DEMONS
100%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
BLUE DEMONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
MARQUETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Marquette)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MARQ -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MARQ)
MARQ By 1-7 points
0.6%
MARQ By 8-14 points
3.3%
DEP By 1-7 points
0.1%
DEP By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Marquette
84
MARQUETTE
DePaul
52
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
Marquette
67
MARQUETTE
DePaul
82
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Demons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Eagles (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim
Blue Demons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
DEP @ MARQ
62 - 51
Jan 16, 2026
MARQ @ DEP
75 - 80
Feb 11, 2025
DEP @ MARQ
58 - 68
Jan 14, 2025
MARQ @ DEP
85 - 83
Feb 21, 2024
DEP @ MARQ
71 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.4% more
Marquette: 8.5
vs
DePaul: 5.9
Blocks (L5)
+38.0% more
DePaul: 4.1
vs
Marquette: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+8.1% more
DePaul: 13.6
vs
Marquette: 12.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
DePaul: 69.0%
vs
Marquette: 65.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MARQ Score
84.0
75
DEP Score
52.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.3 / 30.2
46.0 / 41.0
Assists
13.6 / 12.6
20.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.0
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 41.9
48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
69.0 / 65.4
54.0 / 38.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 31.9
42.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.9 / 8.5
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.7 / 13.5
8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MARQ
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.5
DEP
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MARQ
12-19-1
(38.7%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.5
DEP
Advantage
18-12-2
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -1.5
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
MARQ
DEP
MARQ
ML
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
80%
24-6
62%
20-12
ATS
50%
16-16
53%
17-15
80%
24-6
62%
20-12
TTL
53%
17-15
50%
16-16
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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