Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Royals @ Eagles QUC @ FGCU

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

9-8  |  Road

85
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Alico Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

7-10  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
ROYALS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Queens University)
RoyalsQUC (-3.5) 0 EaglesFGCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

100.0%

Eagles Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUC -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)

QUC By 1-7 points

0.1%

QUC By 8-14 points

0.6%

FGCU By 1-7 points

0.0%

FGCU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
94
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
55
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
72
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
75
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Royals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Royals (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u166.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 15, 2026 QUC @ FGCU 85 - 74
Mar 3, 2025 QUC @ FGCU 71 - 65
Jan 18, 2025 QUC @ FGCU 47 - 60
Jan 4, 2025 FGCU @ QUC 83 - 92
Mar 4, 2024 QUC @ FGCU 69 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +54.2% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 8.4 vs Queens University: 5.4
Blocks (L5) +51.7% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 3.6 vs Queens University: 2.4
Turnovers (L5) +20.8% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 12.5 vs Queens University: 10.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUC Score 94.0 85
FGCU Score 55.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 35.1 19.0 / 28.0
Assists 16.1 / 16.4 11.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.6 / 2.4 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 47.2 36.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 70.0 / 69.5 100.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 35.8 37.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.4 / 5.4 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 10.4 7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
FGCU
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC Advantage
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
QUC
FGCU
QUC
ML
58% 19-14
71% 25-10
67% 22-11
71% 24-10
ATS
61% 20-13
86% 30-5
67% 22-11
71% 24-10
TTL
61% 20-13
47% 16-18-1
100% 33-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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