Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Lakers CHA @ LAL

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

14-26  |  Road

135
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 10:30 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

24-14  |  Home

117
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
📊
LAKERS
100%
HORNETS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Charlotte)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

86.4%

Lakers Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)

CHA By 1-7 points

21.6%

CHA By 8-14 points

27.4%

LAL By 1-7 points

9.3%

LAL By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
114
CHARLOTTE
103
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
108
CHARLOTTE
120
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hornets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hornets (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u234.5 Loss
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim u234.5 Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 15, 2026 CHA @ LAL 135 - 117
Nov 10, 2025 LAL @ CHA 121 - 111
Feb 19, 2025 CHA @ LAL 100 - 97
Jan 27, 2025 LAL @ CHA 112 - 107
Feb 5, 2024 LAL @ CHA 124 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +39.4% more
Charlotte: 4.4 vs Los Angeles: 2.6
Rebounding (L5) +13.2% more
Charlotte: 50.3 vs Los Angeles: 43.7
Free Throw % (L5) +2.9%
Charlotte: 78.9% vs Los Angeles: 76.0%
Steals (L5) +12.8% more
Los Angeles: 6.6 vs Charlotte: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 114.0 135
LAL Score 103.0 117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 36.8 37.0 / 47.0
Assists 27.9 / 27.2 18.0 / 34.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.4 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 48.0 46.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 78.9 74.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 43.7 / 50.3 35.0 / 50.0
Steals 6.6 / 5.9 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 14.2 / 13.7 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
LAL
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
CHA
LAL
CHA
ML
61% 68-43
61% 60-39
54% 49-42
48% 40-44
ATS
61% 67-43-1
60% 59-40
54% 49-42
48% 40-44
TTL
61% 66-43-2
58% 57-42
100% 91-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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