MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
17-23 | Road
101
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
27-13 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
SPURS
0%
BUCKS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
MIL By 1-7 points
16.9%
MIL By 8-14 points
6.8%
SA By 1-7 points
26.8%
SA By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
101
MILWAUKEE
San Antonio
107
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
107
MILWAUKEE
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u225.0
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Sim
u225.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
SA @ MIL
127 - 95
Jan 15, 2026
MIL @ SA
101 - 119
Jan 31, 2025
MIL @ SA
118 - 144
Jan 8, 2025
SA @ MIL
105 - 121
Jan 4, 2024
MIL @ SA
125 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+21.2% more
San Antonio: 47.4
vs
Milwaukee: 39.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
San Antonio: 78.0%
vs
Milwaukee: 68.6%
Steals (L5)
+26.1% more
Milwaukee: 8.1
vs
San Antonio: 6.0
Blocks (L5)
+23.1% more
Milwaukee: 4.1
vs
San Antonio: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
101.0
101
SA Score
107.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 37.8
43.0 / 35.0
Assists
21.9 / 27.4
28.0 / 24.0
Blocks
3.2 / 4.1
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 47.8
51.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 68.6
85.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
47.4 / 39.1
50.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.0 / 8.1
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 15.4
17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
MIL
SA
MIL
ML
60%
111-73
64%
61-35
58%
61-44
60%
49-32
ATS
58%
107-76-1
68%
65-31
58%
61-44
60%
49-32
TTL
74%
134-47-3
55%
53-43
100%
105-0
100%
81-0
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