WEST GEORGIA
WOLVESWGA
9-7 | Road
86
STETSON
HATTERSSTET
6-11 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
100%
HATTERS
0%
WOLVES
--
HATTERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
STETSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Stetson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STET)
WGA By 1-7 points
24.3%
WGA By 8-14 points
13.7%
STET By 1-7 points
26.2%
STET By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
West Georgia
64
WEST GEORGIA
Stetson
65
STETSON
Simulated Score
West Georgia
69
WEST GEORGIA
Stetson
78
STETSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hatters
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hatters
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hatters (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Hatters (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 15, 2026
WGA @ STET
86 - 95
Jan 18, 2025
WGA @ STET
78 - 82
Jan 4, 2025
STET @ WGA
78 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+69.0% more
Stetson: 15.8
vs
West Georgia: 9.3
Steals (L5)
+19.6% more
Stetson: 6.5
vs
West Georgia: 5.5
Turnovers (L5)
+14.2% more
Stetson: 13.3
vs
West Georgia: 11.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Stetson: 30.6%
vs
West Georgia: 25.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WGA Score
64.0
86
STET Score
65.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 25.4
67.0 / 28.0
Assists
15.8 / 9.3
20.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.3 / 4.0
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 42.6
61.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 75.6
75.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 32.9
31.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.5
8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 11.7
15.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
STET
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
STET
18-13-0
(58.1%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STET
WGA
STET
WGA
ML
55%
18-15
58%
18-13
73%
24-9
61%
19-12
ATS
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
73%
24-9
61%
19-12
TTL
61%
20-13
55%
17-14
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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