AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
RIVER HAWKS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
--
RIVER HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (NJIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NJIT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
NJIT By 1-7 points
24.3%
NJIT By 8-14 points
26.8%
UML By 1-7 points
12.2%
UML By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
101
NJIT
UMass Lowell
92
UMASS LOWELL
Simulated Score
NJIT
63
NJIT
UMass Lowell
78
UMASS LOWELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
River Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
River Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
UML @ NJIT
56 - 81
Jan 15, 2026
NJIT @ UML
73 - 64
Jan 30, 2025
UML @ NJIT
62 - 83
Jan 11, 2025
NJIT @ UML
62 - 70
Feb 10, 2024
UML @ NJIT
64 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.6%
NJIT: 77.4%
vs
UMass Lowell: 64.7%
Blocks (L5)
+48.0% more
UMass Lowell: 4.0
vs
NJIT: 2.7
Turnovers (L5)
+22.5% more
UMass Lowell: 11.5
vs
NJIT: 9.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.3%
UMass Lowell: 49.4%
vs
NJIT: 40.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
101.0
73
UML Score
92.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.0 / 32.0
22.0 / 25.0
Assists
11.1 / 10.7
7.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.7
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 40.1
36.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
64.7 / 77.4
72.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 32.3
44.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.1
1.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 9.4
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
UML
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
UML
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
UML
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UML
NJIT
UML
NJIT
ML
70%
23-10
78%
25-7
58%
19-14
62%
20-12
ATS
70%
23-10
72%
23-9
58%
19-14
62%
20-12
TTL
58%
19-14
47%
15-17
100%
33-0
100%
32-0