AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
0%
GREAT DANES
100%
BEARCATS
--
GREAT DANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
BINGHAMTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Binghamton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BING -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BING)
BING By 1-7 points
20.1%
BING By 8-14 points
27.2%
UALB By 1-7 points
8.0%
UALB By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Binghamton
61
BINGHAMTON
UAlbany
49
UALBANY
Simulated Score
Binghamton
68
BINGHAMTON
UAlbany
72
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bearcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Great Danes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bearcats (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Great Danes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
UALB @ BING
77 - 74
Jan 15, 2026
BING @ UALB
53 - 69
Mar 8, 2025
BING @ UALB
66 - 69
Feb 1, 2025
BING @ UALB
65 - 61
Jan 18, 2025
UALB @ BING
70 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+15.2% more
Binghamton: 5.7
vs
UAlbany: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+12.3% more
Binghamton: 12.0
vs
UAlbany: 10.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.0%
Binghamton: 71.5%
vs
UAlbany: 66.5%
Blocks (L5)
+29.5% more
UAlbany: 4.6
vs
Binghamton: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BING Score
61.0
53
UALB Score
49.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 33.8
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.9 / 11.1
13.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.5
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 45.0
46.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 71.5
90.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 29.8
38.0 / 26.0
Steals
4.8 / 5.7
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 12.0
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BING
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
UALB
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BING
Advantage
14-13-0
(51.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4%
Total +/-: +5.2
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UALB
BING
UALB
BING
ML
55%
17-14
67%
20-10
71%
22-9
57%
17-13
ATS
77%
24-7
73%
22-8
72%
23-9
57%
17-13
TTL
61%
19-12
70%
21-9
100%
32-0
100%
30-0