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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

25-16-5  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 9:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

23-16-8  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Jake Walman
GOALTENDER

Jake Walman

#96 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Jake Walman None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 GAA --
1.000 Save % --
1 SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
OILERS
0%
ISLANDERS --
OILERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Edmonton)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 OilersEDM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

30.9%

Oilers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

NYI By 1 goal

12.1%

NYI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

EDM By 1 goal

19.7%

EDM By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NEW YORK
3
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oilers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Islanders (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 15, 2026 NYI @ EDM 1 - 0
Oct 16, 2025 EDM @ NYI 2 - 4
Mar 14, 2025 EDM @ NYI 2 - 1
Nov 12, 2024 NYI @ EDM 3 - 4
Dec 19, 2023 EDM @ NYI 1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +32.8%
Edmonton: 35.0% vs New York: 2.1%
Blocked Shots (L5) +23.9% more
Edmonton: 16.9 vs New York: 13.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.2% more
Edmonton: 31.5 vs New York: 26.7
Takeaways (L5) +10.8% more
New York: 4.5 vs Edmonton: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 2.0 1
EDM Score 3.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.9 / 13.7 8.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 50.0 / 52.5 52.2 / 47.8
Hits 15.9 / 16.1 16.0 / 15.0
Power Play % 35.0 / 2.1 0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 31.5 / 26.7 35.0 / 18.0
Takeaways 4.0 / 4.5 3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
NYI
EDM
NYI
ML
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
ATS
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
100% 2-0-1
25% 1-3
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 8 hours, 32 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 14 hours, 32 minutes ago
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day, 2 hours ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 8 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 14 hours ago