WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
10-7 | Road
67
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
OWLSFAU
11-6 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
100%
OWLS
0%
SHOCKERS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Florida Atlantic)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FAU -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FAU)
WICH By 1-7 points
5.8%
WICH By 8-14 points
1.4%
FAU By 1-7 points
16.9%
FAU By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Wichita State
76
WICHITA STATE
Florida Atlantic
90
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
Wichita State
72
WICHITA STATE
Florida Atlantic
75
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
FAU @ WICH
70 - 88
Jan 15, 2026
WICH @ FAU
67 - 85
Feb 20, 2025
WICH @ FAU
75 - 68
Feb 11, 2024
FAU @ WICH
95 - 82
Jan 18, 2024
WICH @ FAU
77 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+45.6% more
Florida Atlantic: 6.3
vs
Wichita State: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+35.5% more
Florida Atlantic: 13.7
vs
Wichita State: 10.1
Steals (L5)
+27.7% more
Florida Atlantic: 7.2
vs
Wichita State: 5.7
Turnovers (L5)
+17.9% more
Florida Atlantic: 14.2
vs
Wichita State: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WICH Score
76.0
67
FAU Score
90.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 38.4
33.0 / 27.0
Assists
13.7 / 10.1
20.0 / 10.0
Blocks
6.3 / 4.3
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 44.4
56.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
71.8 / 73.2
63.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
43.8 / 40.9
36.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.7
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 12.1
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
FAU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
FAU
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
WICH
FAU
WICH
ML
64%
21-12
61%
22-14
66%
21-11
68%
23-11
ATS
70%
23-10
64%
23-13
66%
21-11
68%
23-11
TTL
58%
19-14
69%
25-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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