Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Wildcats EWU @ WEB

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

3-13  |  Road

80
FINAL
Thu, Jan 15 • 9:00 PM ET
Dee Events Center
View Odds Details →

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

9-8  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
WILDCATS
0%
EAGLES --
WILDCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Weber State)
EaglesEWU (-3.5) 0 WildcatsWEB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

11.5%

Wildcats Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WEB -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)

EWU By 1-7 points

8.0%

EWU By 8-14 points

2.2%

WEB By 1-7 points

20.1%

WEB By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
66
EASTERN WASHINGTON
78
WEBER STATE
Simulated Score
70
EASTERN WASHINGTON
76
WEBER STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wildcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wildcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wildcats (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Wildcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 WEB @ EWU 79 - 84
Feb 14, 2026 WEB @ EWU 66 - 84
Jan 15, 2026 EWU @ WEB 80 - 91
Feb 27, 2025 WEB @ EWU 66 - 64
Feb 1, 2025 EWU @ WEB 72 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +18.4% more
Weber State: 7.1 vs Eastern Washington: 6.0
Rebounding (L5) +17.8% more
Weber State: 36.6 vs Eastern Washington: 31.1
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Weber State: 47.6% vs Eastern Washington: 42.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Weber State: 37.3% vs Eastern Washington: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 66.0 80
WEB Score 78.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.3 / 34.2 45.0 / 29.0
Assists 12.3 / 14.1 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 0.9 / 3.1 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 42.0 48.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 65.2 / 85.4 80.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 31.1 37.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.0 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.2 / 11.2 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
WEB Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
WEB
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WEB
EWU
WEB
EWU
ML
73% 22-8
64% 21-12
73% 22-8
69% 22-10
ATS
63% 19-11
64% 21-12
74% 23-8
69% 22-10
TTL
83% 25-5
48% 16-17
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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